Emmy Predictions 2016: Limited Series/Movie

My predictions within the Limited Series/Movie category of awards:

emmys-2016-limited-series-620x360.jpg
Source: GoldDerby

Key: Winner in BoldSpoiler in Italics

Outstanding Limited Series: 

Nominees: 

  • American Crime
  • Fargo
  • The Night Manager
  • The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story WINS
  • Roots

Reason: Besides being the most talked about new series of the year, American Crime Story is based on true events which will appeal to voters. It is developed by Ryan Murphy, whose other shows (eg- American Horror Story, Glee, Nip/Tuck) have done very well at the awards. ACS is also the most nominated show of the year, being virtually unbeatable. However, Fargo (another FX show) was also critically acclaimed and in any other year would have this in the bag. Voters may want to share the awards around so look for Fargo to possibly win in other categories, but for the big one, American Crime Story should win.

Outstanding television Movie: 

Nominees: 

  • All The Way
  • Confirmation
  • Luther
  • Sherlock: The Abominable Bride WINS
  • A Very Murray Christmas

Reason: Led by Bryan Cranston, and based off the Tony award wining play, All The Way should take this award. No movie here has the buzz of previous nominees so this may be a difficult one to judge. Confirmation could slip in, but it is really anyone’s guess. My money is on All The Way simply for its critical recognition and star power.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie:

Nominees:

  • Bryan Cranston (All The Way)
  • Benedict Cumberbatch (Sherlock: The Abominable Bride)
  • Idris Elba (Luther)
  • Cuba Gooding Jr. (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story)
  • Tom Hiddleston (The Night Manager)
  • Courtney B. Vance (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story) WINS

Reason: This will be a close one. Initially Cranston definitely had the edge following winning the Tony for this role in the movie’s play equivalent, however Vance certainly astounded on ACS. The question here is whether voters will want to award Cranston, a multi-Emmy award winner, for playing the same role as in a play, or award Vance, a first time nominee, who is one of the breakout stars of this TV season in one of this years biggest shows. I’m going to predict Vance simply for the fact that ACS has greater buzz than All The Way. But this will tight.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or Movie:

Nominees:

  • Kirsten Dunst (Fargo)
  • Felicity Huffman (American Crime)
  • Audra McDonald (Lady Day at Emerson’s Bar and Grill)
  • Sarah Paulson (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story) WINS
  • Lili Taylor (American Crime)
  • Kerry Washington (Confirmation)

Reason: It really would be a crime to not give this to Paulson. She has been nominated for multiple Emmys over the last few years and nearly every time has been predicted to win, yet has always walked away empty-handed. She gave ACS’s greatest performance (which says a lot) and deserves this Emmy. However, looking at her history at the ceremony, it could be a case of voters simply not liking her. But I would surprised if that overwhelms her support this year. If anyone spoils it would be Washington.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie:

Nominees: 

  • Sterling K. Brown (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story) WINS
  • Hugh Laurie (The Night Manager)
  • Jesse Plemons (Fargo)
  • David Schwimmer (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story)
  • John Travolta (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story)
  • Bokeem Woodbine (Fargo)

Reason: Once again my money is on an ACS performer. While not a standout from the show, Sterling K. Brown certainly had a large role and has one powerful episode. Yet Hugh Laurie could be a surprise winner after many nominations for his role in ‘House’. Laurie is certainly loved by actors in Hollywood, so he definitely has a chance. Of all the races in the Limited Series/Movie category, this will be the one that could go any way.

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series/Movie:

Nominees:

  • Kathy Bates (American Horror Story: Hotel)
  • Olivia Colman (The Night Manager)
  • Regina King (American Crime) WINS
  • Melissa Leo (All The Way)
  • Sarah Paulson (American Horror Story: Hotel)
  • Jean Smart (Fargo)

Reason: With no ACS nominations, this will give another show a chance to get a win. Jean Smart from Fargo seems like the logical choice. The show deserves to win awards and Smart’s performance was spectacular. However, it is less flashy than a lot of other performances in this category and with the show airing nearly a year ago, many may have forgotten it. Anyone really has a chance at taking this one, but my spoiler would have to be Regina King, due to winning this award last year (a massive surprise at the time). Bates has a chance, as an Oscar winner and having won this award the year before King. Leo could compensate if Cranston loses to Vance, while Colman could be awarded as she was never eligible to be nominated for Broadchurch, for which she was nominated for the International Emmy. It would certainly be ironic if Paulson won this, considering her losses with AHS in the past.

Outstanding Directing for a Limited Series, Movie or Dramatic Special:

Nominees:

  • All The Way
  • Fargo (Episode: Before The Law)
  • The Night Manager WINS
  • The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: From the Ashes of Tragedy)
  • The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: Manna from Heaven)
  • The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: The Race Card)

Reason: It will be interesting to see who wins this, since All The Way and The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story are not competing against each other in a series category. I’m going to say All The Way will win because I believe The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story had better writing than directing. All The Way may also benefit from vote splitting. Furthermore, movies seem to win this award over Limited Series. But do not be surprised if ACS does clinch it.

Outstanding Writing for a Limited Series, Movie or Dramatic Special:

  • Fargo (Episode: Loplop)
  • Fargo (Episode: Palindrome)
  • The Night Manager
  • The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: From the Ashes of Tragedy)
  • The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: Marcia, Marcia, Marcia) WINS
  • The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: The Race Card)

Reason: In any other year, it would be this award that would have a big influence upon who eventually won the Limited Series award. However, with ACS probably dominating in acting categories, it doesn’t need to win this. Yet I still believe it will, simply for being able to transition real live events to screen while creating an emotional connection with characters. Fargo has a chance, and there is always a possibility of vote splitting. But I will bet ACS wins this.

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