Emmy Predictions 2016: Drama

My predictions within the Drama category of awards:

emilia-clarke-lena-headey-maggie-smith-maura-tierney-maisie-williams-constance-zimmer-620x360.jpg
Source: GoldDerby

Key: Winner in BoldSpoiler in Italics

Outstanding Drama Series: 

Nominees: 

  • The Americans
  • Better Call Saul
  • Downton Abbey
  • Game of Thrones WINS
  • Homeland
  • House of Cards
  • Mr. Robot

Reason: This is going to be a lot closer than many may think. Though I do believe Game of Thrones will win, simply due to its incredible ratings, critical reception, cultural following and the number of wins and nominations this year alone, Mr. Robot could spoil. While Game of Thrones only needs two more wins to become the most awarded primetime series of all time, Mr. Robot would be looking for its first win. However, the show is cleverly currently airing giving it great buzz and its uniqueness could stand out. The question is: Are voters watching a USA Network show? Christian Slater’s snub may so no… Look for this category to be won by any show, excluding Homeland, as each certainly has a claim to it.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series:

Nominees:

  • Kyle Chandler (Bloodline)
  • Rami Malek (Mr. Robot) WINS
  • Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul)
  • Matthew Rhys (The Americans)
  • Liev Schreiber (Ray Donovan)
  • Kevin Spacey (House of Cards)

Reason: This is another difficult one. Not only is Spacey a two-time Oscar winner, and his claim to this award has been building over the last four years, but he has yet to win an Emmy and voters love to award those who have been waiting for a long time. But the thorn in his side is Malek whose incredible performance is currently in the minds of voters. They may wish to award a first time nominee and I simply believe his buzz is too great at the moment to lose. Possibly look for Malek to win as compensation for the Slater snub and Game of Thrones taking the main award. Once again, any of these actors could take the award, but my pick is on Malek or Spacey.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series:

Nominees:

  • Claire Dane (Homeland)
  • Viola Davis (How To Get Away With Murder)
  • Taraji P. Henson (Empire)
  • Tatiana Maslany (Orphan Black) WINS
  • Keri Russell (The Americans)
  • Robin Wright (House of Cards)

Reason: This should be Wright’s year. She dominated House of Cards this season and left a memorable mark on this years political TV landscape. However, Davis could win for a second year in a row, but many believe her win last year was to finally give the award to a black actress and with her show struggling to get attention, it could be an uphill battle.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series:

Nominees: 

  • Jonathan Banks (Better Call Saul)
  • Peter Dinklage (Game of Thrones)
  • Kit Harrington (Game of Thrones)
  • Michael Kelly (House of Cards)
  • Ben Mendelsohn (Bloodline) WINS
  • Jon Voight (Ray Donovan)

Reason: This will be a tight race. Realistically, there are three frontrunners. I believe Harrington will win on his first nomination simply as he was the star of this years season of Game of Thrones and its most nominated episode ‘Battle of the Bastards’. However, Dinklage could win for the third time as the safe bet, yet he didn’t have a lot to do this season. Banks also has a chance, after surprisingly losing to Dinklage last year, but this would be more or less a compensation for that loss and a nod to Better Call Saul as a whole. Banks also could take advantage of a vote split between Harrington and Dinklage. But my money is still on Harrington though voters are often weary about voting for a new, young face.

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series:

Nominees:

  • Emilia Clarke (Game of Thrones)
  • Lena Headey (Game of Thrones)
  • Dame Maggie Smith (Downton Abbey) WINS
  • Maura Tierney (The Affair)
  • Maisie Williams (Game of Thrones)
  • Constance Zimmer (UnREAL)

Reason: On a personal note, I will be annoyed if Headey doesn’t win this, as I think her performance in the episode “Winds of Winter” is simply too good to pass over. However, like with the Supporting Actor category, Game of Thrones could see a vote split, leaving Dame Maggie Smith to win on Downton Abbey’s final season. Smith has won an Emmy for this role before, but her show received few nominations this year, meaning voters could be getting bored of it. Though with the actress working less due to her age, this may sadly be one of her final nominations in a mainstream TV show, possibly earning her some votes.

Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series:

Nominees:

  • Downton Abbey (Episode: Episode 9)
  • Game of Thrones (Episode: Battle of the Bastards) WINS
  • Game of Thrones (Episode: The Door)
  • Homeland (Episode: The Tradition of Hospitality)
  • The Knick (Episode: This is All We Are)
  • Ray Donovan (Episode: Exsuscito)

Reason: Simply from a technical perspective, Game of Thrones should have this in the bag (If it doesn’t win then it may be the biggest surpise ever in this category). Battle of the Bastards is probably the most discussed TV episode of the year and its clear innovation and scale will appeal to voters. However, once again it could face a vote split, as many regard The Door as the seasons best episode. No other show has any real shot, though Downton Abbey could possibly win as a goodbye award.

Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series:

  • The Americans (Episode: Persona Non Grata)
  • Downton Abbey (Episode: Episode 8)
  • Game of Thrones (Episode: Battle of the Bastards) WINS
  • The Good Wife (Episode: The End)
  • Mr. Robot (Episode: eps1.0_hellofriend.mov)
  • UnREAL (Episode: Return)

Reason: Another tight competition, Game of Thrones should win, but this would be largely based upon the buzz of the episode rather than the actual writing. While the writing was stellar, most will think of this episode for its direction and style rather than its dialogue, so this could disadvantage it. Mr. Robot may win this simply due to the hype of the show and to reward Sam Esmail who writes most of the show’s episodes.

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